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Daily Market Review

📉 Daily Market Review – May 30, 2025

📉 Daily Market Review – Friday, May 30, 2025

🧭 Market Recap: Post-Rally Weakness Creeps In

After nearly six weeks of upward momentum, markets are beginning to show signs of fatigue. The S&P 500 Futures (ES) has started to grind lower, with Thursday confirming a potential sell signal — the first one since the buy trigger on April 14th. While one day doesn’t define a trend reversal, today's close will be critical to determine if this marks a broader downturn or just a short-term pause.

  • CPCI: 0.90 – bullish internal sentiment
  • VIX: 19 – complacency, not fear
  • SKEW: 137 – neutral-bullish tail risk
  • Fear & Greed Index: 64 – “Greed” zone

So, while internals still lean bullish, price action is starting to diverge, a classic sign of a momentum slowdown.

⚙️ Technical Context & Market Internals

  • Buy Signal: April 14 – ~1.5 months of upside
  • Current Action: Grinding down; bearish confirmation needed today
  • MACD / FDTS: Weakening on 3-month timeframe
  • Indicators: Still above key MAs/VWAPs, but diverging momentum
⚠️ Market may be due for a cool-off or consolidation, even if broader trends are still intact.

🌍 Macro Outlook & Global Trends

🇺🇸 U.S. Economic Snapshot

  • Tariff Volatility: Trade court reversals shaking sentiment
  • Q1 GDP: Shrinkage driven by lower spending and tariff front-loading
  • Rates: 10-Yr: 4.43%, 2-Yr: 3.95% – softer rate-cut expectations
  • Gold: $3,316 (+0.53%) – macro hedging in play

🌎 Global Equity Moves

MarketMove
Canada TSX-0.28%
Nifty 50 🇮🇳+0.33%
STOXX 600 🇪🇺-0.19%

India continues to shine, while Europe remains wobbly amid trade tensions and weak consumer data.

💼 Corporate & Stock Highlights

  • Alzamend Neuro (ALZN +63.86%): Clinical trials for Alzheimer’s/Bipolar/PTSD
  • Pepsi (PEP -12.54%) / Kraft (KHC -12.56%): Sluggish food demand despite Potato Day
  • Tesla (TSLA +0.43%): Musk exits White House post – investor relief

🏠 Real Estate Watch

  • 30-Year Rate: 6.97%
  • 15-Year Rate: 6.23%
  • Seller Surge: 2M sellers vs 1.5M buyers – downward pressure risk
  • Inventory Woes: New homes too large/expensive for entry buyers
🏠 Expect continued price pressure unless rates fall or demand rebounds.

₿ Crypto Check-In

AssetPriceMove
BTC$106,193-1.60%
ETH$2,657-1.06%
XRP$2.27-0.16%
  • Adoption: 50M U.S. Bitcoin holders – more than gold’s user base
  • Institutions: MSTR still buying BTC; banks circling stablecoins

🧠 Final Word: Caution on the Rise

While indicators still favor bulls, the price action is fading, and momentum signals are weakening.

Key levels to watch:

  • Downside follow-through: Confirms sell signal and opens door for pullback
  • Flat or up close: Keeps bulls in control, but on thinner ice
🧭 Watch the 5,900–5,875 level on ES – a break below could shift sentiment fast.

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