Skip to main content

Daily Market Overview

📉 Daily Market Review – May 30, 2025

📰 Daily Market Overview – June 23, 2025

📊Market Sentiment & Price Action

After seven consecutive weeks of dull, grinding market action, the broader indices remain technically in uptrends, but underlying momentum is clearly fading. While June is still up about 1% on the S&P 500, the market tone has shifted.

MACD and Zero Lag Moving Average (ZLMA) have both turned negative, flashing confirmed sell signals. Price action is weak and slightly below mean regression, though still hovering above VWAP across major ETFs like SPY, QQQ, and IWM.

  • Fear & Greed Index: 55 (Neutral-Greedy)
  • CPCI: 1.2 (Moderate hedging)
  • VIX: 20s (Caution)
  • SKEW: 149 (Elevated tail risk)

🔍Technicals Summary

TickerTrendMACDZLMARSIVWAPRegression
IWMUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below
QQQUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below
SPYUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below

🌍Macro & Global Markets

The U.S. launched the largest B-2 bomber strike on Iran’s nuclear sites. Vice President Vance emphasized this was not a war declaration. The market reacted with:

  • $20B global equity fund outflow (including $18B from U.S. alone)
  • Gold: +$2.8B inflow, Bonds: +$13B inflow

U.S. Economic Snapshot

  • Fed: Dovish tone, Waller open to cuts
  • Q1 GDP: Contracted due to low consumption and tariff rush
  • Security: Cyberattack hit Apple & Google users

🏠Real Estate Check-In

  • 30-Year Rate: 6.86%
  • 15-Year Rate: 6.12%
  • Rent prices: Down for 22 months
  • REITs: Up 7% YoY – flight to income assets

₿Crypto Pulse

  • Bitcoin: $103,734 (-0.89%)
  • Ethereum: $2,432 (-3.53%)
  • Circle stock: +20% after stablecoin regulation passed

BTC outlook: Break above $106K may lead to $110K–$135K, or below $100K if support fails.

📉Outlook

Short-term weakness is setting in while long-term trends still hold.

  • Price is below mean
  • Sell signals from MACD and ZLMA
  • Macro risk increasing
⚠️ Watch the 5,950–6,000 SPX zone. Breakdown could trigger wider risk-off behavior.

Popular posts from this blog

IWM IC

TRADE IDEA FROM MARK ==================== I wanted to offer a trade idea and get your feedback. It’s a small $1 iron condor spread on the IWM September quarterly’s, so it’s over in a relatively short time, but has a potential decent return. Although the IWM has been going up pretty strong the past two weeks (see chart below), I’m expecting a leveling out or lower rate of increase over the next 15 days which should keep it within the IC range. The credit is $.28, not a huge amount, but still decent for the risk. Remarks : Looks good to me. Range of IWM by 10/1 , I am expecting between 61 -58
Read more

Gold - Record Highs

Gold Futures Analysis - Record Highs and Investor Caution Gold Futures Analysis: Historic Highs Amid Market Uncertainty A Long Road to Record Highs Gold has always stood as a timeless symbol of value and a trusted hedge during economic instability. From ancient civilizations to modern markets, when uncertainty strikes, investors often flock to the yellow metal. In 2025, Gold futures are once again in the spotlight, reaching all-time highs, but this rally comes with critical nuances that investors must understand. A Historical Look at Gold Price Movements 1980–2002 : Gold traded in a tight consolidation range between $260 to $562 , showing little directional movement for over two decades. 2002–2011 : Gold began its breakout journey. Starting around $260 in 2002, prices surged to $1927 by 2011. 📈 ~641% increase in under a decade. 2011–2016 : A significant correction occurred, dragging prices down to $1061 . ...
Read more

Inside the 2026 Market Cycle: Volatility, Opportunity, and Trend Reversal

Market Outlook – Cycle Modeling, Analog Analysis & Trading Playbook 2026 Market Outlook: - A Cycle-Based Framework for the Coming Inflection Year By FazDane Analytics – Gann Cycles • SPX Analog Modeling • Macro Liquidity Signals Introduction Financial markets rarely move randomly. Beneath the volatility and narrative noise, long-term structural cycles tend to repeat in surprisingly consistent patterns. Using W.D. Gann’s time-cycle matrix, liquidity-driven analogs, and historical SPX behavior, 2026 emerges as one of the most important inflection years of the decade. The Gann row containing 2026 links directly to some of the most consequential years in market history: 1913 → 1932 → 1950 → 1969 → 1987 → 2006 → 2008 → 2026 These years include major tops, bottoms, crashes, liquidity contractions, and generational turning points. Together they form the backbone of the 2026 Analog SPX Model , a statistically meaningful roadmap for how markets may behave thro...
Read more