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Daily Market Overview

📉 Daily Market Review – May 30, 2025

📰 Daily Market Overview – June 23, 2025

📊Market Sentiment & Price Action

After seven consecutive weeks of dull, grinding market action, the broader indices remain technically in uptrends, but underlying momentum is clearly fading. While June is still up about 1% on the S&P 500, the market tone has shifted.

MACD and Zero Lag Moving Average (ZLMA) have both turned negative, flashing confirmed sell signals. Price action is weak and slightly below mean regression, though still hovering above VWAP across major ETFs like SPY, QQQ, and IWM.

  • Fear & Greed Index: 55 (Neutral-Greedy)
  • CPCI: 1.2 (Moderate hedging)
  • VIX: 20s (Caution)
  • SKEW: 149 (Elevated tail risk)

🔍Technicals Summary

TickerTrendMACDZLMARSIVWAPRegression
IWMUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below
QQQUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below
SPYUptrendNegativeSellNeutralAboveSlightly Below

🌍Macro & Global Markets

The U.S. launched the largest B-2 bomber strike on Iran’s nuclear sites. Vice President Vance emphasized this was not a war declaration. The market reacted with:

  • $20B global equity fund outflow (including $18B from U.S. alone)
  • Gold: +$2.8B inflow, Bonds: +$13B inflow

U.S. Economic Snapshot

  • Fed: Dovish tone, Waller open to cuts
  • Q1 GDP: Contracted due to low consumption and tariff rush
  • Security: Cyberattack hit Apple & Google users

🏠Real Estate Check-In

  • 30-Year Rate: 6.86%
  • 15-Year Rate: 6.12%
  • Rent prices: Down for 22 months
  • REITs: Up 7% YoY – flight to income assets

₿Crypto Pulse

  • Bitcoin: $103,734 (-0.89%)
  • Ethereum: $2,432 (-3.53%)
  • Circle stock: +20% after stablecoin regulation passed

BTC outlook: Break above $106K may lead to $110K–$135K, or below $100K if support fails.

📉Outlook

Short-term weakness is setting in while long-term trends still hold.

  • Price is below mean
  • Sell signals from MACD and ZLMA
  • Macro risk increasing
⚠️ Watch the 5,950–6,000 SPX zone. Breakdown could trigger wider risk-off behavior.

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