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Showing posts from May, 2025

When the Market Rhymes

Is 2025 Echoing the Ghost of 2018? 📈 When the Market Rhymes: Is 2025 Echoing the Ghost of 2018? “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – Mark Twain As we reach the midpoint of 2025, the S&P 500 is telling a story that feels strangely familiar. Through data, pattern recognition, and a little bit of historical hindsight, we may be witnessing a year that’s beginning to rhyme with 2018 — a year etched into memory for its deceptively stable beginning and dramatic fourth-quarter collapse. In this post, we’ll explore two key visualizations that help uncover the narrative of 2025 — and what it may be hinting at for the months ahead. 📊 A 15-Year Year-over-Year Performance Canvas This chart takes a bird’s-eye view of the S&P 500’s year-over-year (YoY) returns over the last 15 years. Each bar is color-coded: green for gains, red for losses. Values are labeled directly on the bars and are also revealed on hover. 📈 Key Price Acti...

Daily Market Review

📉 Daily Market Review – May 30, 2025 📉 Daily Market Review – Friday, May 30, 2025 🧭 Market Recap: Post-Rally Weakness Creeps In After nearly six weeks of upward momentum , markets are beginning to show signs of fatigue. The S&P 500 Futures (ES) has started to grind lower , with Thursday confirming a potential sell signal — the first one since the buy trigger on April 14th . While one day doesn’t define a trend reversal, today's close will be critical to determine if this marks a broader downturn or just a short-term pause . CPCI: 0.90 – bullish internal sentiment VIX: 19 – complacency, not fear SKEW: 137 – neutral-bullish tail risk Fear & Greed Index: 64 – “Greed” zone So, while internals still lean bullish , price action is starting to diverge, a classic sign of a momentum slowdown . ⚙️ Technical Context & Market Internals Buy Signal: April 14 – ~1.5 mont...

Market Review -May 19, 2025

🧭 Comprehensive Daily Market Review – May 19, 2025 🧭 Market Overview: S&P 500 Futures (ES) As of mid-morning, the S&P 500 futures market (ES) remains resilient despite early weakness. After falling 60 points overnight, the index has rebounded, now down just 10 points and trading above VWAP (5938) — a sign of short-term strength. Both short-term and long-term trends remain bullish , with this week’s expected range between 6042 (upside target) and 5857 (support) . Technicals show robust momentum but caution as resistance approaches. Key Resistance : 5950–6018 Support Zone : 5909–5927 Current Price : Above all key moving averages 20 SMA: +4% 50 SMA: +6.35% 200 SMA: +2.94% 📊 Technical Internals Indicator Reading Outlook MACD +39 Strong bullish momentum FDTS +23 Buy signal confirmed RSI 68.43 Approaching overbought CPCI 1.2 High hedging, cautious tone SKEW 136 Elevated tail-risk ...