The FOMC meeting minutes from December 13, 2023, indicate a slowdown in economic activity compared to the third quarter, with continued but moderated job gains and a persistent low unemployment rate. Inflation, though eased from the previous year, remains elevated. The U.S. banking system is described as resilient, but there are concerns about tighter financial conditions impacting the economy and inflation. The Federal Reserve maintains its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent, underscoring its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a 2 percent inflation rate over the long term. The Committee will continue to adjust its policy based on economic and financial developments, including the effects of its cumulative policy tightening. Key decisions include maintaining the interest rate on reserve balances at 5.4 percent and conducting various open market operations, with a unanimous vote from Federal Reserve members including Chair Jerome Powell and Vice Chair John Williams.
Market Outlook – Cycle Modeling, Analog Analysis & Trading Playbook 2026 Market Outlook: - A Cycle-Based Framework for the Coming Inflection Year By FazDane Analytics – Gann Cycles • SPX Analog Modeling • Macro Liquidity Signals Introduction Financial markets rarely move randomly. Beneath the volatility and narrative noise, long-term structural cycles tend to repeat in surprisingly consistent patterns. Using W.D. Gann’s time-cycle matrix, liquidity-driven analogs, and historical SPX behavior, 2026 emerges as one of the most important inflection years of the decade. The Gann row containing 2026 links directly to some of the most consequential years in market history: 1913 → 1932 → 1950 → 1969 → 1987 → 2006 → 2008 → 2026 These years include major tops, bottoms, crashes, liquidity contractions, and generational turning points. Together they form the backbone of the 2026 Analog SPX Model , a statistically meaningful roadmap for how markets may behave thro...
