Will History repeat by itself ?

When I was doing a long term analysis (10 Yrs) of S&P 500, I noticed that in 2000-2003 recession,
S&P 500 down from 1552.87 to 938.02 and retrace to 1172.89 (38.2 %) and went back to 765.89 (18 % lower than the previous low), Market retested this support couple of times in 2003 .

If History repeat by itself this time , IF IF... in 2009 Market touched 666 and went back to 1040 level (38.2 %) and coming down (if so).. If Market came down like last recession , we can expect around 18 % lower than 666 approximately 540 level !!!

Will that happen ? What you think ..
I need active participation from each and every one from the group, What is your opinion.. ?

AMD Technical Analysis

c AMD- December 2024 Current Price Trends and Short-Term Analysis Hourly Chart (Short-Term) The short-term trend for AMD on the hourly chart is currently down , indicating some immediate bearish momentum. However, there are early signs of a turnaround as the price edges up from $132 toward the $145 level. Significant resistance exists at $145 , which will act as a crucial test for further upward momentum. Until AMD decisively breaks this level, the price action is likely to remain choppy and sideways . Immediate-Term Outlook In the immediate term, AMD appears to be stabilizing and attempting to shift upward. The current price action suggests that the stock may oscillate within the range of $132 to $145 in the short term, building a base for a potential breakout. Key resistance levels are $145, $150, and $155. Medium-Term (Three-Month Daily Chart) Trend Overview On the three-month daily chart, AMD exhibit...

SPX

SPX is holding the support.. This is the key support tested multiple time overtime. VIX today hit on 30 s and sellers came and brought VIX back to 33 s .

Market Shadows: Bullish Efforts Overshadowed by Persistent Bearish Presence

Monthly Market Review: April's Unexpected Decline and May's Outlook Monthly Market Review: April's Unexpected Decline and May's Outlook April: A Downward Shift in the Market April marked the first down month of 2024, with significant declines across major indices. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell by 218 points, the Nasdaq (NDX) dropped by 721 points, and the Russell 2000 (Russel) declined by 150 points. Typically a mild or upward-trending month, April's downturn was influenced by macro-political issues that escalated market volatility, continuing the exuberant price actions from the previous month. May Forecast: Debunking "Sell in May and Go Away" Contrary to the old market adage "Sell in May and go away," the last 10-15 years have not supported this strategy statistically. May tends to be a highly volatile month,...

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