Market Diary

Weekly Market Review: Bulls Charge Ahead as Bears Retreat on the Golf Course Weekly Market Review: Bulls Charge Ahead as Bears Retreat on the Golf Course Setup: The Opening Drive Last week on the financial market golf course, it was a hefty and grinding round. The bulls and bears battled through a slow week, characterized by low participation ahead of the upcoming long weekend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average took a significant hit, losing 934 points, while the Nasdaq showed resilience, climbing 235 points. The Russell 2000 edged down by 26 points, and the S&P 500 (SPX) barely made a move, gaining just 1 point, ending the week in a doji candlestick formation. From March onwards, the volume has been consistently slowing down, and market participants lack confidence in the upward movement of the price action. Despite low volume, prices have been rising, driven by a bid-ask process where b...

Weekly Market Review: Bullish Momentum and Historical Context Weekly Market Review: Bullish Momentum and Historical Context Market Overview As we close the 20th week of 2024 in May, the stock market has showcased a remarkable bullish trend over the past three weeks. This period has seen the bulls decisively outpace the bears, driving major indices to new heights: Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up by 490 points, crossing the historic 40,000 mark. Nasdaq (NDX): Increased by 345 points. Russell 2000: Added 35 points. S&P 500 (SPX): Rose by 80 points. This bullish momentum indicates strong investor confidence and a significant shift in market sentiment. Despite a few dips, the overall trend remains positive, with substantial buying activity observed even during sell-offs. Technical Analysis: Trends and ...

Market Overview: A Glimpse of Recovery Amidst Ongoing Challenges As we conclude the 19th week of 2024 in May, the market displayed a mix of resilience and vulnerability. Over the last eight trading days, the bulls demonstrated strength with six days closing up and only two days down, an encouraging shift following a tough April. Despite this uptick, the three-month trend remains bearish while the ten-day trend has turned positive, suggesting a short-term recovery. However, the closing of the week revealed some weaknesses; despite an overall up day on Friday, bulls struggled to maintain the highs from earlier in the week, and bears managed to exert pressure, pulling the prices down slightly by the day’s close. Technical Analysis: Navigating Mixed Signals The long-term market trend is bucking April's downturn, nearing an all-time high in the S&P 500...

Monthly Market Review: April's Unexpected Decline and May's Outlook Monthly Market Review: April's Unexpected Decline and May's Outlook April: A Downward Shift in the Market April marked the first down month of 2024, with significant declines across major indices. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell by 218 points, the Nasdaq (NDX) dropped by 721 points, and the Russell 2000 (Russel) declined by 150 points. Typically a mild or upward-trending month, April's downturn was influenced by macro-political issues that escalated market volatility, continuing the exuberant price actions from the previous month. May Forecast: Debunking "Sell in May and Go Away" Contrary to the old market adage "Sell in May and go away," the last 10-15 years have not supported this strategy statistically. May tends to be a highly volatile month,...

Weekly Market Review: A Glimmer of Hope Amidst Volatility Weekly Market Review: A Glimmer of Hope Amidst Volatility Market Recovery: Bulls Find Solace After three weeks of a relentless downturn, the market finally saw an uptick this week, offering a much-needed breather for both bears and bulls. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 253 points, while the Nasdaq Composite soared by 645 points. The Russell 2000 Index gained 54 points, and the S&P 500 increased by 132 points, marking one of the best weeks of the year for the SPX and NDX. This positive movement has provided some optimism for bulls hoping for a continuation of this trend. However, breadth indicators remain less confident, signaling that investors should remain vigilant and respond prudently to price actions. Technical Analysis: Bearish Signs Persist Despite the recent uplift, both...

Weekly Market Review: Week 16 of 2024 Weekly Market Review: Week 16 of 2024 Market Overview: A Turn to the Bears In the 16th week of 2024, the market notably favored bearish trends, marking the third consecutive week of declines—a significant pattern highlighted by the formation of a "Three Black Crows" candlestick pattern in the weekly charts. This pattern, consisting of three long-bodied candlesticks that close progressively lower, is a bearish indicator suggesting a strong reversal in the market. Last week, major indices reflected this downturn: The Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 3 points. The Nasdaq Composite was down by 893 points. The Russell 2000 Index declined by 55 points. The S&P 500 dropped by 156 points. Each trading day of the week ended in the red. Volati...

Weekly Market Review: Bears Gain Ground Weekly Market Review: Bears Gain Ground A Shift in Market Trends In the week of 15th, in 2024, bears secured their second consecutive victory, indicating a shift in market momentum. While short-term trends point downwards, the long-term view remains cautiously optimistic. Significant index drops included the Dow by 900 points, Nasdaq by 130 points, Russell by 61 points, and S&P 500 by 50 points, with in the last Friday experiencing its second-largest fall this year with 75 points after January 31 st move of 79 points in 2024. Market in the Lower Range Currently, the SPX lingers within the lower bounds of the first standard deviation range, suggesting a forthcoming week of range-bound or downward movement. Global Sentiments Under Pressure Global...

Weekly Market Overview Weekly Market Wrap: Bears Take the Lead Bearish Winds Blow Through the Indices Last week, the market was painted in shades of red as the bears took over. The Dow Jones fell by 903 points , while the NDX and SPX saw decreases of 130 and 50 points , respectively, and the RUT followed with a 61-point drop. Volatility Looms on the Horizon : 2024 As of now Amidst the market's general upward trend, there is a lingering presence of volatility. A rise in commodity prices, including copper and oil, signals ongoing inflationary pressure, though the market continues to perform well despite high interest rates. The Fed's Tightrope Walk The Federal Reserve faces the challenge of balancing interest rate cuts to prevent bankruptcies during the upcoming commercial real estate mortgage renewal phase. Currently, there are no signi...